When three-term congressman and aspirational haircut Eric Swalwell (D-CA) said Monday that he was “considering” a 2020 presidential bid, we felt obliged to contextualize the remark. In lieu of a rubric for measuring Democratic presidential candidacy potential, here’s what the potential candidates have actually said about 2020, ranked roughly by their levels of commitment:
Rep. John Delaney (MD) is, simply, “running.”
Michael Avenatti says “I’m gonna run” if “there’s a need.”
Former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julián Castro has “every interest in running.”
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (MA) will “take a hard look” at it.
Sen. Kamala Harris (CA) will “seriously take a look” at it.
Former Attorney General Eric Holder is “thinking about it.”
Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti is “thinking about this.”
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) will “see what happens.”
Sen. Cory Booker (NJ) will “give it a look.”
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (NY) says “it’s not about ’20, it’s really about now.”
Sen. Jeff Merkley (OR) is “exploring the possibility.”
Gov. Steve Bullock (MT) is “listening” and “traveling the country quite a bit.”
Former Vice President Joe Biden is “not going to decide not to run.”
Billionaire Democratic donor and activist Tom Steyer is “not ruling it out.”
Former Secretary of State John Kerry hasn’t “eliminated anything in my life, period, anything — except perhaps running a sub-four [minute] mile.”
Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban says “yes” he’s considering it.
Sen. Sherrod Brown (OH) is “not actively considering it,” but he does “think about it from time to time.”
Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg “will see what happens down the road.”
Former Gov. Deval Patrick (MA) is “not sure there is a place for me in that mix.”
Former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz intends “to think about a range of options, and that could include public service.”
Oprah Winfrey “would not be able to do it.”
Former Gov. Terry McAuliffe (VA) thinks “none of us can afford to sit on the sidelines.” (But, in fairness, he was probably talking about the 2018 midterms during a recent trip to Iowa.)
Gov. Andrew Cuomo (NY) has ruled it out. (But come on, he’s Andrew Cuomo.)
Others to keep an eye on, according to various lists: Sen. Amy Klobuchar (MN), former New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Rep. Tim Ryan (OH), Gov. John Hickenlooper (CO), Rep. Seth Moulton (MA), former Gov. Martin O’Malley (MD), Gov. Jay Inslee (WA), Sen. Brian Schatz (HI), Sen. Maggie Hassan (NH).
H/t FiveThirtyEight, The Washington Post (and again), CNN, The Hill.
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