Lauren Fox

Lauren Fox is a reporter at Talking Points Memo.

Articles by Lauren

Marco Rubio didn't win Monday night in Iowa.

And no, a third place finish cannot be spun hard enough into a victory.

But for the Republican establishment, Rubio's solid third place in Iowa, clearly in the top tier with Ted Cruz and Donald Trump gives the party a way forward that doesn't pose the general election risks of the bombastic billionaire or the the uberconservative Texas senator.

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Ted Cruz, the first-term Texas senator who has made his rabble-rousing Senate tenure the centerpiece of his anti-establishment campaign, has won the Iowa caucuses and taken Donald Trump down in a major way.

"Tonight is a victory for the grassroots,” Cruz said in his victory speech in Iowa. "Tonight is a victory for millions of Americans who have shouldered the burden of seven years of Washington deals run amok. Tonight is a victory for every American who has watched in dismay as career politicians in Washington in both parties refuse to listen and too often failed to keep their commitments to the people."

Heading into Iowa Monday, TPM Poll Tracker showed Trump with a commanding lead over Cruz with 29.6 percent to 23.5 percent of the vote. As caucus results in Iowa came in, however, Trump underperformed and only managed to win about 24 percent of the vote, with more than 98 percent of precincts reporting.

Cruz was able to effectively knock down frontrunner Trump by capturing the appetite for an outsider and mobilizing an extensive ground game operation that included housing for out-of-state volunteers in the days and weeks leading up to the first-in-the-nation contest and an ambitious and meticulous county-by-county travel schedule.

"From day one, this campaign has been a movement," Cruz said. "Whatever Washington says. They cannot keep the people down."

Trump ran a fly in and fly out campaign that was marked by big old rallies in a state that prides itself on pressing the flesh of presidential candidates. Throughout the campaign in Iowa, Trump's campaign stayed quiet on its turnout game, which turned out to fall short of Cruz's operation.

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Cliven Bundy is encouraging the four individuals still known to be at the Malheur Wildlife Refuge to stay put and keep fighting, according to a report from Oregon Public Broadcasting.

OPB is reporting that Bundy wrote to County Sheriff David Ward and Oregon Gov. Kate Brown that "We the People of Harney County and also We the People of the citizens of the United States DO GIVE NOTICE THAT WE WILL RETAIN POSSESSION OF THE HARNEY COUNTY RESOURCE CENTER."

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Based off of early entrance polls, the percentage of first-time caucusgoers on the Democratic side is lower than the blockbuster numbers that came out for the first time to caucus for then-senator Barack Obama in 2008 and catapulted him to victory.

In the weeks leading into the Iowa caucus, Bernie Sanders' rise has often been compared to Obama's in 2008, and political observers have predicted that higher turnout in the Democratic caucus would generally favor Sanders.

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Having failed in her bid for the Senate from Wyoming, Liz Cheney, the daughter of former vice president Dick Cheney, is now running for the state's sole House seat, she told the Gillette News Record Monday.

There are already eight other candidates running for the open seat, which is being vacated by current Rep. Cynthia Lummis (R-WY).

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