They've got muck; we've got rakes. TPM Muckraker
At Intrade, the bottom's fallen out of the market for Republicans retaining control of the House in the November elections. In February traders went 75-25 on the GOP keeping the House; now, it's just about 50-50.
Knesevich ran down the market's predictions for a few of our scandal-dogged incumbent candidates:
Sen. Rick Santorum (R-PA): He's out. "The probability a Democrat wins has been steady at 70 percent. Santorum doesn't look like heâs got it."
Sen. Conrad Burns (R-MT): Even odds to win. "That's a 50-50. That's still very close."
Sen. Katherine Harris (R-FL): Get outta town. "Whoah. . . Democrats have a 78 percent probability to win Florida. Doesn't seem to be much movement on that one recently."