In it, but not of it. TPM DC

Is Obama Serious about Card Check?

I suspect few folks really know about it but in general the public is in a pro-union mood. "The public doesn't really know about this bill even in the states where business groups made huge ad buys about it. That's good for us. We're arguing jobs and the economy. They're arguing work rules," said the source.

The question that EFCA-watchers want to know is how committed the administration is to getting the bill passed. As Senator, Barack Obama was one of the EFCA sponsors and has spoken out in support of it as has Labor Secretary Hilda Solis, the daughter of a Teamsters shop steward (her father) and a United Rubber Workers union member (her mom). But the question had been whether Obama really expend political capital for the bill and will Democrats see defections in their ranks.

Last time the bill came up for a vote, it passed the House but a threatened Republican filibuster killed the bill in the Senate. But all Senate Democrats supported it, as did Republican Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania. So now that the Democrats have a large, but not filibuster-proof majority, what will happen? Will the likes of the new freshman Senators back the measure? (All of them publicly supported it during their campaigns save Mark Warner who didn't take a position.) Will Specter stick with it? Will some of the Dems who did not vote to override the filibuster like Mark Pryor go wobbly? Pryor's office, a spokesperson told me, is open to amendments. "He'd be more for it if there was a process for considering amendments," said Pryor spokesperson Lisa Ackerman. Specter may have more breathing room to support the bill now that he won't face a Republican primary challenge from Club for Growth Leader and former Pennsylvania Congressman Pat Toomey.

Labor officials now believe that the bill will come up in the Spring, perhaps May or June, and that the administration and the president will indeed fight for it.

While the White House has been somewhat chastened by the vigorous campaign against the bill, with some officials privately fearing that it could be their "gays in the military," the president, labor leaders believe, is committed to pushing forward with his support of EFCA and hopes to sign it into law this year.